Flawed house building figures ‘lose’ a town the size of Stevenage every year Failures presenting critics with ‘open goal’
The Government’s most publicised measure of house building excludes around a fifth of all new build completions every year, a report released today reveals. The HBF’s Ghost towns report shows how flawed methodology and poor returns from Local Authorities mean around 30,000 new builds are not counted in the official numbers.
Analysis shows that the ill-termed ‘House Building Statistics’, released on a quarterly and annual basis by the Department of Communities and Local Government (DCLG) underreport new build completions in 75% of Local Authorities with an average of 153 new homes ‘lost’ in each of those areas.
More than half of new build homes in areas such as Birmingham, Liverpool, Leicester, Salford and many London Boroughs are completely unaccounted for in the quarterly series. As a result, a town equivalent to the size of Stevenage is being ‘lost’ every year, or, over the course of a Parliament, in which Government is targeting a million homes, a city larger than Nottingham, Coventry or Newcastle simply vanishes.
The confusingly named ‘Net Supply of Housing ‘data series, which is only published once a year and is drawn from more reliable sources more closely linked to the numbers Local Authorities use for determining their Council Tax Base show that more than 181,000 homes were added to the housing stock in 2014/15 – the last numbers available – of which 155,000 were new build, up 20% year on year.
At a time when the house building industry is rapidly increasing output, largely as a result of some significant Government policy successes the shortfall is presenting industry and Government critics, and those opposed to development generally, with ammunition to criticise.
Stewart Baseley, executive chairman of the Home Builders Federation said:
“Housebuilding has increased significantly in recent years but the continual publication and use of inaccurate statistics is painting a negative picture that is undermining the progress being made in tackling the housing shortage. The Government's housing policies and the industry are delivering, and it is incredibly frustrating that official statistics are not reflecting what is happening on the ground but instead presenting an open goal for critics."
The published data excluded:
At least 75% the London Boroughs of Brent, Wandsworth, Hammersmith and Fulham and Kensington & Chelsea,1,280 new homes in Birmingham (two-thirds of all new build completions)920 new homes in Liverpool (63% of all new build completions)640 new homes in Salford (half of all new build completions)570 new homes in Leicester (6 out of 10 new build completions)570 new homes in Sheffield (40% of all new build completions)400 new homes in Chester West & Chester (29% of all new build completions)
The report also puts forward additional reliable indicators of housing delivery, including the official Council Tax Base statistics, counting net additional homes at a later point in the year than that covered by the Net Supply statistics, and the issuance of Energy Performance Certificates for new build properties. Both report that construction levels vastly outstripping the wildly inaccurate ‘House Building Statistics’.
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For media enquiries, or to arrange an interview, please contact Steve Turner on 020 7960 1606 or 07919 307760. Steve.turner@hbf.co.uk
Notes to editors
The Home Builders Federation (HBF) is the representative body of the home building industry in England and Wales. The HBF’s member firms account for some 80% of all new homes built in England and Wales in any one year, and include companies of all sizes, ranging from multi-national, household names through regionally based businesses to small local companies: www.hbf.co.uk
DCLG’s ‘house building’ statistics under-report housing delivery in 243 local authorities across England. The more accurate statistics included in the Net Supply of Housing data series shows how, in some areas, as much as 8 out of every 10 new build housing completions is going uncounted in official statistics.
Area Completions reported by DCLG 'House Building' Series New Build completions from DCLG Net Supply Series Percentage of new homes excluded Number of homes excluded
England | 124,520 | 155,080 | 20% | 30,560 |
Birmingham | 660 | 1,940 | 66% | 1,280 |
Brent | 310 | 1,560 | 80% | 1,250 |
Liverpool | 550 | 1,470 | 63% | 920 |
Lewisham | 490 | 1,390 | 65% | 900 |
Hammersmith and Fulham | 210 | 1,070 | 80% | 860 |
Kensington and Chelsea | 180 | 1,010 | 82% | 830 |
Wandsworth | 240 | 960 | 75% | 720 |
Salford | 670 | 1,310 | 49% | 640 |
Leicester | 380 | 950 | 60% | 570 |
Sheffield | 850 | 1,420 | 40% | 570 |
Sandwell | 370 | 860 | 57% | 490 |
Manchester | 900 | 1,370 | 34% | 470 |
Ealing | 390 | 830 | 53% | 440 |
City of Bristol | 460 | 900 | 49% | 440 |
Gateshead | 220 | 650 | 66% | 430 |
Warwick | 160 | 560 | 71% | 400 |
Peterborough UA | 770 | 1,170 | 34% | 400 |
Cheshire West and Chester UA | 970 | 1,370 | 29% | 400 |
Bury | 140 | 520 | 73% | 380 |
Bexley | 380 | 760 | 50% | 380 |
Coventry | 710 | 1,090 | 35% | 380 |
Basildon | 320 | 690 | 54% | 370 |
Cheshire East | 890 | 1,250 | 29% | 360 |
Kingston upon Hull | 510 | 860 | 41% | 350 |
Cornwall UA | 1,880 | 2,230 | 16% | 350 |
Newham | 1,560 | 1,890 | 17% | 330 |
Swale | 160 | 480 | 67% | 320 |
South Norfolk | 600 | 910 | 34% | 310 |
Nottingham | 180 | 480 | 63% | 300 |
Hillingdon | 240 | 530 | 55% | 290 |
Mid Sussex | 380 | 660 | 42% | 280 |
Milton Keynes | 1,070 | 1,350 | 21% | 280 |
Reading | 80 | 350 | 77% | 270 |
Dudley | 390 | 660 | 41% | 270 |
East Riding of Yorkshire | 400 | 660 | 39% | 260 |
Shropshire UA | 670 | 930 | 28% | 260 |
Brighton and Hove | 150 | 400 | 63% | 250 |
Selby | 340 | 590 | 42% | 250 |
Hackney | 920 | 1,170 | 21% | 250 |
Fenland | 330 | 570 | 42% | 240 |
Kingston upon Thames | 170 | 400 | 58% | 230 |
Sefton | 280 | 510 | 45% | 230 |
Vale of White Horse | 440 | 670 | 34% | 230 |
Southwark | 1,050 | 1,280 | 18% | 230 |
West Oxfordshire | 130 | 350 | 63% | 220 |
Ipswich | 220 | 440 | 50% | 220 |
St. Helens | 340 | 560 | 39% | 220 |
Stratford-on-Avon | 410 | 630 | 35% | 220 |
Uttlesford | 270 | 480 | 44% | 210 |
Tewkesbury | 360 | 570 | 37% | 210 |
Doncaster | 580 | 790 | 27% | 210 |
Aylesbury Vale | 1,100 | 1,310 | 16% | 210 |
Harrow | 100 | 300 | 67% | 200 |
Solihull | 430 | 630 | 32% | 200 |
Cherwell | 570 | 770 | 26% | 200 |
Bradford | 750 | 950 | 21% | 200 |
Croydon | 930 | 1,130 | 18% | 200 |
Calderdale | 220 | 410 | 46% | 190 |
Medway | 300 | 490 | 39% | 190 |
Nuneaton and Bedworth | 220 | 400 | 45% | 180 |
Isle of Wight | 330 | 510 | 35% | 180 |
Newcastle-under-Lyme | 350 | 530 | 34% | 180 |
North East Derbyshire | 100 | 270 | 63% | 170 |
Swindon | 370 | 540 | 31% | 170 |
North Somerset | 430 | 600 | 28% | 170 |
Taunton Deane | 580 | 750 | 23% | 170 |
Barking and Dagenham | 800 | 970 | 18% | 170 |
Halton | 310 | 470 | 34% | 160 |
Herefordshire Unitary Authority | 310 | 470 | 34% | 160 |
Stoke-on-Trent | 320 | 480 | 33% | 160 |
Malvern Hills | 90 | 240 | 63% | 150 |
Shepway | 110 | 260 | 58% | 150 |
Staffordshire Moorlands | 140 | 290 | 52% | 150 |
West Berkshire | 320 | 470 | 32% | 150 |
North Tyneside | 340 | 490 | 31% | 150 |
East Hertfordshire | 340 | 490 | 31% | 150 |
South Cambridgeshire | 720 | 870 | 17% | 150 |
Cheltenham | 70 | 210 | 67% | 140 |
Rushmoor | 110 | 250 | 56% | 140 |
South Staffordshire | 130 | 270 | 52% | 140 |
Preston | 160 | 300 | 47% | 140 |
North East Lincolnshire | 180 | 320 | 44% | 140 |
Wirral | 260 | 400 | 35% | 140 |
Westminster | 300 | 440 | 32% | 140 |
East Lindsey | 310 | 450 | 31% | 140 |
Stroud | 440 | 580 | 24% | 140 |
Cannock Chase | 120 | 250 | 52% | 130 |
West Lancashire | 220 | 350 | 37% | 130 |
Wellingborough | 240 | 370 | 35% | 130 |
Wigan | 340 | 470 | 28% | 130 |
South Somerset | 560 | 690 | 19% | 130 |
Central Bedfordshire | 1,310 | 1,440 | 9% | 130 |
Gravesham | 50 | 170 | 71% | 120 |
Rutland UA | 130 | 250 | 48% | 120 |
Worthing | 240 | 360 | 33% | 120 |
Newark and Sherwood | 250 | 370 | 32% | 120 |
East Staffordshire | 250 | 370 | 32% | 120 |
West Lindsey | 260 | 380 | 32% | 120 |
Mendip | 460 | 580 | 21% | 120 |
Knowsley | 480 | 600 | 20% | 120 |
East Devon | 920 | 1,040 | 12% | 120 |
Barnet | 1,180 | 1,300 | 9% | 120 |
Rossendale | 110 | 220 | 50% | 110 |
Braintree | 230 | 340 | 32% | 110 |
Broadland | 270 | 380 | 29% | 110 |
Scarborough | 280 | 390 | 28% | 110 |
Worcester | 290 | 400 | 28% | 110 |
Wolverhampton | 450 | 560 | 20% | 110 |
Wealden | 510 | 620 | 18% | 110 |
North Hertfordshire | 60 | 160 | 63% | 100 |
Sutton | 210 | 310 | 32% | 100 |
Dover | 220 | 320 | 31% | 100 |
Ashford | 250 | 350 | 29% | 100 |
Kirklees | 360 | 460 | 22% | 100 |
Havant | 390 | 490 | 20% | 100 |
Sedgemoor | 410 | 510 | 20% | 100 |
Chelmsford | 460 | 560 | 18% | 100 |
Wokingham | 510 | 610 | 16% | 100 |
Sevenoaks | 110 | 200 | 45% | 90 |
Welwyn Hatfield | 180 | 270 | 33% | 90 |
Hambleton | 190 | 280 | 32% | 90 |
Rochdale | 220 | 310 | 29% | 90 |
Mid Devon | 230 | 320 | 28% | 90 |
Tameside | 340 | 430 | 21% | 90 |
Maidstone | 440 | 530 | 17% | 90 |
Arun | 460 | 550 | 16% | 90 |
Warrington UA | 580 | 670 | 13% | 90 |
Walsall | 670 | 760 | 12% | 90 |
Chesterfield | 100 | 180 | 44% | 80 |
St Albans | 120 | 200 | 40% | 80 |
Trafford | 170 | 250 | 32% | 80 |
Ryedale | 190 | 270 | 30% | 80 |
Tunbridge Wells | 200 | 280 | 29% | 80 |
Wyre | 200 | 280 | 29% | 80 |
Blaby | 320 | 400 | 20% | 80 |
Darlington | 330 | 410 | 20% | 80 |
Ashfield | 370 | 450 | 18% | 80 |
Basingstoke and Deane | 380 | 460 | 17% | 80 |
Charnwood | 630 | 710 | 11% | 80 |
Wychavon | 750 | 830 | 10% | 80 |
Test Valley | 790 | 870 | 9% | 80 |
Plymouth UA | 800 | 880 | 9% | 80 |
Hyndburn | 40 | 110 | 64% | 70 |
Oadby and Wigston | 50 | 120 | 58% | 70 |
Oxford | 50 | 120 | 58% | 70 |
Rushcliffe | 190 | 260 | 27% | 70 |
Stafford | 280 | 350 | 20% | 70 |
Forest of Dean | 310 | 380 | 18% | 70 |
South Tyneside | 330 | 400 | 18% | 70 |
Torridge | 340 | 410 | 17% | 70 |
Slough | 360 | 430 | 16% | 70 |
South Ribble | 400 | 470 | 15% | 70 |
East Hampshire | 480 | 550 | 13% | 70 |
Chorley | 630 | 700 | 10% | 70 |
Wakefield | 1,030 | 1,100 | 6% | 70 |
Brentwood | 60 | 120 | 50% | 60 |
Christchurch | 80 | 140 | 43% | 60 |
North Dorset | 130 | 190 | 32% | 60 |
Watford | 130 | 190 | 32% | 60 |
Harrogate | 140 | 200 | 30% | 60 |
Amber Valley | 170 | 230 | 26% | 60 |
Portsmouth UA | 250 | 310 | 19% | 60 |
Canterbury | 260 | 320 | 19% | 60 |
Rugby | 330 | 390 | 15% | 60 |
Cotswold | 370 | 430 | 14% | 60 |
St Edmundsbury | 370 | 430 | 14% | 60 |
Dartford | 470 | 530 | 11% | 60 |
Newcastle upon Tyne | 610 | 670 | 9% | 60 |
Telford and Wrekin UA | 1,030 | 1,090 | 6% | 60 |
Epsom and Ewell | 110 | 160 | 31% | 50 |
Erewash | 140 | 190 | 26% | 50 |
Rochford | 240 | 290 | 17% | 50 |
Suffolk Coastal | 350 | 400 | 13% | 50 |
Reigate and Banstead | 370 | 420 | 12% | 50 |
Northampton | 620 | 670 | 7% | 50 |
Colchester | 650 | 700 | 7% | 50 |
Chiltern | 60 | 100 | 40% | 40 |
Tandridge | 100 | 140 | 29% | 40 |
North Warwickshire | 140 | 180 | 22% | 40 |
Redditch | 230 | 270 | 15% | 40 |
North Lincolnshire UA | 270 | 310 | 13% | 40 |
Derby UA | 290 | 330 | 12% | 40 |
Daventry | 300 | 340 | 12% | 40 |
Wyre Forest | 300 | 340 | 12% | 40 |
Bolton | 310 | 350 | 11% | 40 |
Hart | 320 | 360 | 11% | 40 |
South Northamptonshire | 320 | 360 | 11% | 40 |
Middlesbrough UA | 430 | 470 | 9% | 40 |
Windsor and Maidenhead UA | 490 | 530 | 8% | 40 |
Northumberland UA | 1,190 | 1,230 | 3% | 40 |
Maldon | 30 | 60 | 50% | 30 |
Richmond upon Thames | 40 | 70 | 43% | 30 |
Surrey Heath | 50 | 80 | 38% | 30 |
Blackpool UA | 70 | 100 | 30% | 30 |
Broxtowe | 70 | 100 | 30% | 30 |
Stevenage | 90 | 120 | 25% | 30 |
Islington | 100 | 130 | 23% | 30 |
New Forest | 120 | 150 | 20% | 30 |
Craven | 120 | 150 | 20% | 30 |
Forest Heath | 130 | 160 | 19% | 30 |
Luton UA | 140 | 170 | 18% | 30 |
East Dorset | 150 | 180 | 17% | 30 |
Castle Point | 180 | 210 | 14% | 30 |
Lichfield | 200 | 230 | 13% | 30 |
North Devon | 250 | 280 | 11% | 30 |
South Lakeland | 270 | 300 | 10% | 30 |
North Norfolk | 290 | 320 | 9% | 30 |
Tonbridge and Malling | 450 | 480 | 6% | 30 |
Stockton-on-Tees UA | 460 | 490 | 6% | 30 |
Bath and North East Somerset UA | 490 | 520 | 6% | 30 |
Barrow-in-Furness | 60 | 80 | 25% | 20 |
Richmondshire | 70 | 90 | 22% | 20 |
Adur | 70 | 90 | 22% | 20 |
Hastings | 100 | 120 | 17% | 20 |
High Peak | 110 | 130 | 15% | 20 |
Southend-on-Sea UA | 140 | 160 | 13% | 20 |
Broxbourne | 140 | 160 | 13% | 20 |
Norwich | 170 | 190 | 11% | 20 |
Waverley | 180 | 200 | 10% | 20 |
Blackburn with Darwen UA | 190 | 210 | 10% | 20 |
Fylde | 190 | 210 | 10% | 20 |
Eastleigh | 260 | 280 | 7% | 20 |
Poole UA | 280 | 300 | 7% | 20 |
Thanet | 300 | 320 | 6% | 20 |
Ribble Valley | 300 | 320 | 6% | 20 |
Bracknell Forest UA | 320 | 340 | 6% | 20 |
Dacorum | 320 | 340 | 6% | 20 |
Exeter | 350 | 370 | 5% | 20 |
Breckland | 470 | 490 | 4% | 20 |
Waveney | 110 | 120 | 8% | 10 |
Lincoln | 130 | 140 | 7% | 10 |
Rother | 160 | 170 | 6% | 10 |
Crawley | 160 | 170 | 6% | 10 |
Gosport | 170 | 180 | 6% | 10 |
Bassetlaw | 190 | 200 | 5% | 10 |
York UA | 200 | 210 | 5% | 10 |
Bolsover | 240 | 250 | 4% | 10 |
Chichester | 410 | 420 | 2% | 10 |
East Northamptonshire | 430 | 440 | 2% | 10 |
South Oxfordshire | 440 | 450 | 2% | 10 |
Gloucester | 470 | 480 | 2% | 10 |
Waltham Forest | 550 | 560 | 2% | 10 |
South Gloucestershire UA | 1,220 | 1,230 | 1% | 10 |